22 Aug

Risk vs. Volatility

Posted by hancockp Categories: Markets Stock Market Investing Bonds Risk Volatility s&P 500

August 21, 2015Printer-Friendly VersionAs an avid reader and follower of global financial markets, it’s very rare a day goes by that I don’t observe what transpires in markets. I am fascinated by the ebbs and flows of data, information, economies and markets. Learning new ideas challenges my mind and hopefully improves my ability to manage portfolios.One thing I have learned over the years is that there is a lot of noise in financial markets. It’s this noise that can easily throw investors off a long-term financial plan. Case in point is what happened today in global financial market…

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14 Jan

The Grand Monetary Experiment

January 14, 2015Printer-Friendly Version“And so the miracle of the debt supercylce meets a logical end when yields, asset prices and in the increasing amount of credit place an unreasonable burden on the balancing scale of risk and return. Too little return for too much risk” – Bill Gross, January 2015Markets By The Numbers – 2014 In ReviewStocksGlobal stocks ended the year up 4.2%. There was quite a dispersion between U.S. stocks and international stocks as international developed and emerging market stocks recorded losses for the year. Continued concerns regarding slowing growth and a risk of deflation in the Euro-zone impacted international developed stocks. Slowing…

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13 Oct

End of an Era

October 13, 2014Printer-Friendly Version“An era is ending: for over half a decade, nearly worldwide, zero interest rates suppressed volatilities. That is over. More and exciting volatilities lie ahead.” – David Kotok, October 5, 2014The third quarter ended eventfully with a resurgence in world-wide volatility in stock prices, interest rates, currencies and commodities. This volatility carried over into October as most days so far the Dow has experienced 100 to 200 point swings rather routinely. A lack of global liquidity has also created a resurgence of volatility as the Federal Reserve wraps up its quantitative easing (QE) program. It’s no secret that QE aids global l…

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15 Jul

Escape Velocity

Posted by hancockp Categories: Investing Economy Federal Reserve Interest Rates Markets

July 15, 2014 Printer-Friendly VersionSummary Global stocks rallied during the second quarter led by emerging markets. The S&P 500 climbed to an all-time high aided by low interest rates, low inflation, slowly improving economic growth and continued expansive policies from the Federal Reserve. Global bond markets also performed well during the second quarter as interest rates fell driving bond prices higher. Most bond sectors have posted positive returns in 2014, led by municipal bonds and emerging market bonds. Economic growth remains low in the US and other developed economies despite highly accommodative policies from central banks. The winds of change are blowing as…

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14 Apr

Growth Accelerating, Risks Remain

Posted by hancockp Categories: Economics Federal Reserve GDP Markets Monetary Policy

The International Monetary Fund released it’s bi-annual World Economic Outlook on April 8, 2014. Key takeaways from the report include:The global economy is gradually recovering from the 2008 debt crisis, but growth continues to remain below average and uneven across many countries.The IMF predicts global GDP growth of 3.6 percent in 2014 increasing to 3.9 percent in 2015.Risks to rising growth include low inflation, potential capital flow reversals, removal of central bank stimulus, and geopolitical uncertainties.United StatesGross domestic product (GDP) is defined as the market value of all officially recognized final goods and services within a country in a given year. GD…

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